Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.009078 0.010791 0.012878 0.015654 0.019322 0.024116 0.031052
2025-04-27 0.007066 0.009119 0.011939 0.016265 0.023073 0.034069 0.054963
2025-05-04 0.005845 0.007931 0.011021 0.016234 0.025540 0.043316 0.086524
2025-05-11 0.005045 0.007101 0.010325 0.016187 0.027799 0.053580 0.134028
2025-05-18 0.004392 0.006350 0.009551 0.015712 0.028979 0.062483 0.195625
2025-05-25 0.003834 0.005650 0.008711 0.014859 0.028979 0.068600 0.265135
2025-06-01 0.003425 0.005134 0.008095 0.014277 0.029364 0.076360 0.374704
2025-06-08 0.003210 0.004912 0.007962 0.014650 0.032312 0.095871 0.697051
2025-06-15 0.002964 0.004604 0.007616 0.014463 0.033687 0.111583 1.207935
2025-06-22 0.002686 0.004209 0.007046 0.013639 0.032850 0.116855 1.714902
2025-06-29 0.002537 0.004031 0.006881 0.013741 0.035019 0.141373 4.058794
2025-07-06 0.002446 0.003950 0.006895 0.014293 0.039060 0.186813 21.376717
2025-07-13 0.002365 0.003896 0.006994 0.015201 0.045585 0.280363 NaN
2025-07-20 0.002261 0.003786 0.006962 0.015775 0.051555 0.413300 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002128 0.003605 0.006743 0.015745 0.054896 0.550949 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002009 0.003440 0.006537 0.015700 0.058288 0.746636 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001881 0.003243 0.006226 0.015244 0.059144 0.915407 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001745 0.003021 0.005832 0.014426 0.057319 0.990068 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001636 0.002845 0.005533 0.013867 0.056846 1.143700 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001583 0.002783 0.005502 0.014225 0.062908 1.926538 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001509 0.002670 0.005330 0.014046 0.065152 2.720836 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001413 0.002503 0.005009 0.013253 0.062121 2.792629 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001364 0.002435 0.004931 0.013352 0.066472 4.818499 NaN